FORAXION TIMESSEPTEMBER 2026

News from the frontier of AI forecasting

FORAXION, the company behind The Forecasting Machine, pushes the limits of actionable foresight.

A magazine of forecasts, probabilities & calibration

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— what we're publishing today
The Forecasting Machine card headed TFM featured in L’Express, beside a stylised newspaper spread showing the interview headline, its authors, and the pull quote about forecasting solely through AI

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The Forecasting Machine

L’Express Interviews Émile Servan-Schreiber on Polymarket and Money-Free Forecasting
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Latest Insights

2026-09-14The Forecasting Machine

Agenda Pública Launches Agenda Futura With The Forecasting Machine

Spanish policy outlet Agenda Pública has launched Agenda Futura, pairing The Forecasting Machine’s live AI forecasts with analysis from its journalists and experts.

2026-07-21The Forecasting Machine

Renault Foundation Uses The Forecasting Machine in EU Automotive Policy Report

Fundación Renault Group España’s decarbonisation report uses probabilities calculated with The Forecasting Machine’s technology to compare two ways of measuring EU vehicle-emissions compliance.

Forecasts
2026-07-15The Forecasting Machine

Will the USA Bomb Iranian Territory in June 2026? A Forecast at 50/50

The Forecasting Machine put the chance of a U.S. bombing operation on Iranian territory near even odds at the start of June, before new evidence sharply changed the assessment.

Forecasts
2026-07-15The Forecasting Machine

When Will the USA Sustain a One-Month Ceasefire With Iran?

The Forecasting Machine initially made Q3 2026 the likeliest window for a full month without U.S. attacks on Iran, then revised the distribution as the ceasefire repeatedly came under pressure.

Forecasts
2026-07-15The Forecasting Machine

Will Global Belief in God Decline by 2100?

The Forecasting Machine gives a significant decline in the global share of people who believe in God a 50% probability by 2100, while demographic resilience keeps stability firmly in play.

Forecasts
2026-07-15The Forecasting Machine

Will Russia Accept a Permanent Ukraine Ceasefire by the End of 2026?

The Forecasting Machine gives Russia only about a 7% chance of accepting a permanent ceasefire by the end of 2026 as active fighting and incompatible terms outweigh mounting pressure for a deal.

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