News from the frontier of AI forecasting

FORAXION, the company behind The Forecasting Machine, pushes the limits of actionable foresight.

2020-10-29The Forecasting Machine

Collective intelligence is built: Servan-Schreiber on the EVE & Octave podcast

Émile Servan-Schreiber’s conversation with Valérie Angliviel de la Beaumelle argues that effective collective intelligence requires deliberate construction. The programme dates the recording to 15 July 2020.

2020-05-29The Forecasting Machine

Opening access to Supercollectif: a free chapter and an English translation

In 2020, Servan-Schreiber shared a free first chapter and a summary of Supercollectif. Earlier that year, Camille Larmanou reported completing an English translation draft.

2020-05-29The Forecasting Machine

After lockdown, Les Echos Weekend asks how to free collective intelligence

Pierre de Gasquet’s May 2020 interview with Émile Servan-Schreiber connected disrupted forecasts, employee independence and the removal of organisational silos.

2020-05-27The Forecasting Machine

Don Moore’s confidence research and the discipline of forecasting

In May 2020, Émile Servan-Schreiber recommended Perfectly Confident. Moore’s book and forecasting research make the case for confidence tested against results.

2020-05-06The Forecasting Machine

UM6P’s 2020 webinars connect consensus, misinformation and group reasoning

A recovered programme sets out a spring–summer research series organised by Brent Strickland and Cathal O’Madagain. Its opening topic asks when agreement represents independent evidence.

2020-05-05The Forecasting Machine

L’INNOVORE’s collective look at business after COVID

In May 2020, L’INNOVORE credited Émile Servan-Schreiber among contributors to a white paper on COVID risks and opportunities in food and distribution.

2020-04-09The Forecasting Machine

UM6P research on misinformation and producer incentives

An April 2020 announcement connects scientific misinformation to evolved intuitions and producer incentives, with implications for collective judgement.

2020-04-07The Forecasting Machine

JEDI’s COVID drug-discovery challenge: collective ambition meets experimental checks

An April 2020 announcement proposed a rapid search through billions of molecules. Later research documents the candidate screening, laboratory tests and limits of that effort.

2020-04-06The Forecasting Machine

Scott Page’s many-model thinking, from a book to epidemic explanations

Servan-Schreiber shared Scott Page’s book announcement in 2018 and recommended an epidemic video in April 2020. Official university materials recover the modelling context behind those short posts.

2020-03-05The Forecasting Machine

An hourly COVID economic dashboard, and Émile’s idea of hybrid collective intelligence

Pierre Haren announced four hourly updated charts in March 2020. Causality Link’s contemporaneous analysis explains how machine reading could organize a crowd’s explanations.

2020-02-12The Forecasting Machine

At Le Cube, a discussion of collective intelligence and the risks of consensus

The 11 February 2020 Rendez-vous des Futurs interview brought Émile Servan-Schreiber’s collective-intelligence argument to Le Cube, with disagreement central to an attendee’s recap.

2020-02-12The Forecasting Machine

01Edu’s peer pedagogy as an application of supercollective intelligence

In February 2020, Servan-Schreiber highlighted Nicolas Sadirac’s educational platform as a practical example of organising collective intelligence.