FORAXION TIMESOCTOBER 2026

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Results for “election forecasting”

2026-08-02The Forecasting Machine

France 2027 on the Hypermind Market: How the Odds Moved Between Summer 2025 and Summer 2026

A year of Hypermind forecasts on the 2027 French presidential election, read as a market snapshot rather than a prediction: the RN’s combined chances rose, the “someone else” option shrank, and Édouard Philippe consolidated his position on the centre-right.

2022-01-11The Forecasting Machine

Ask what your circle thinks: an implicit super-sample for surveys and forecasts

A 2022 Electoral Studies paper examined why asking about other people's preferences can outperform asking only about one's own—and how the same mechanism may help prediction markets.

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