News from the frontier of AI forecasting

FORAXION, the company behind The Forecasting Machine, pushes the limits of actionable foresight.

2020-11-04The Forecasting Machine

Hypermind's 2020 US election forecasts: Biden favored, uncertainty intact

Hypermind kept Biden ahead without calling the race certain, anticipated Harris as his running mate, and assigned a minority probability to the loser refusing to accept defeat before Thanksgiving.

2020-09-03The Forecasting Machine

The Long Fork Project: forecasting the consequences of America’s 2020 election

In 2020, Hypermind asked its champion forecasters what the United States would look like in 2022 and 2024 depending on whether Donald Trump won re-election. One of the questions, on national happiness, can now be checked against what happened.