News from the frontier of AI forecasting

FORAXION, the company behind The Forecasting Machine, pushes the limits of actionable foresight.

2025-09-27The Forecasting Machine

Who controls collective intelligence? Servan-Schreiber’s case for public forecasting

Two posts in 2025 connect a criticism of concentrated platform power with a proposal to make evidence-based forecasts available to anyone.

2025-09-12The Forecasting Machine

Ce que l’horizon promet: art and forecasting meet at Fondation groupe EDF

Fondation groupe EDF’s 2025 exhibition paired contemporary artworks with expert interviews to explore how people live with an uncertain future.

2025-06-12The Forecasting Machine

Diversity, collective intelligence and foresight: speaking notes, 2019–2025

Dated notices follow Servan-Schreiber’s discussions of diversity and collective intelligence across cybersecurity, education, foresight and business forums.

2025-05-22The Forecasting Machine

UM6P’s CI Assembly tests AI tools for democratic deliberation

A May 2025 invitation led to demonstrations of AI-assisted deliberation at UM6P in Rabat. A participant’s report records how students separated arguments about values from arguments about feasibility.

2025-05-09The Forecasting Machine

Frenchfounders Madrid: diversity in the decision process

At a May 2025 Frenchfounders meeting in Madrid, Émile Servan-Schreiber discussed diverse opinions, independent judgement and how groups combine ideas.

2025-03-29The Forecasting Machine

Programme Octave: a recurring lesson on diversity and collective intelligence

From the 2022 return to in-person seminars to a 2025 lecture announcement, Programme Octave repeatedly put cooperation and diverse viewpoints on the leadership agenda.

2025-03-26The Forecasting Machine

At ENGIE Belgium, collective intelligence begins with listening

An ENGIE Belgium conference and an attendee’s response connect diversity with two practical questions: how well colleagues read one another and who gets to speak.

2025-02-22The Forecasting Machine

Human diversity and AI model collapse: a question from UM6P’s 2025 debate

A February 2025 essay turned a debate about the future of human intelligence around: could AI sustain its performance without fresh, diverse human observations? Research on recursive training gives the question a concrete basis.

2025-01-20The Forecasting Machine

Glimt opens to the public: Sweden’s crowd-forecasting platform for Ukraine

On 20 January 2025, FOI opened Glimt, a free platform where volunteers forecast the war, politics and economy questions that Ukrainian analysts worry about, using Hypermind’s technology. Within five weeks it had more than 10,000 forecasters.

2024-10-11The Forecasting Machine

At EY, Supercollectif prompts a discussion about women’s participation in decisions

An attendee’s account of an EY seminar connects Supercollectif with gender inclusion. Group-intelligence research helps explain the argument without turning it into a guarantee.

2024-10-05The Forecasting Machine

At Programme EVE 2024, complementary perspectives become collective intelligence

In Évian, Émile Servan-Schreiber used an Adam-and-Eve metaphor to explain how different perspectives can complete each other. Programme EVE’s recap connected that argument to more reliable group decisions.

2024-09-30The Forecasting Machine

From cryptocurrency governance to gorilla songs: UM6P’s collective-intelligence research graduates

UM6P’s September 2024 thesis defences show the breadth of collective-intelligence research: community governance, Moroccan nomads, language origins and deliberation.