News from the frontier of AI forecasting

FORAXION, the company behind The Forecasting Machine, pushes the limits of actionable foresight.

2026-08-07The Forecasting Machine

Inside NewsFutures’ 2001 US launch: contracts, prizes and early forecasts

USA TODAY’s December 2001 NewsFutures release explains the sports and money partnership, reader trading, points and prizes, and its early forecasting claims.

2026-07-14The Forecasting Machine

From NewsFutures to The Forecasting Machine: 25 Years in Newsrooms

Agenda Pública’s live AI-forecast integration continues a media-forecasting story that began when NewsFutures probabilities appeared inside USA TODAY articles.

2026-03-25The Forecasting Machine

The Carnegie Mellon mentors behind Émile Servan-Schreiber’s work on intelligence

Three autobiographical posts connect a 1983 encounter, a 1984 AI project and Raj Reddy’s graduate-school advice to a career studying individual and collective minds.

2023-01-30The Forecasting Machine

L’Éléphant’s Hypermind clipping prompts a reflection on a life’s work

The recovered clipping is a short account of Hypermind’s origins and forecasting contests. Servan-Schreiber’s response turns its heading, L’anecdote, into a reflection on research.

2022-03-26The Forecasting Machine

Building Hypermind’s forecasting interfaces, 2016–2022

Historical recruitment posts trace Hypermind’s public and corporate interfaces, mobile requirements and remote development work from 2016 through 2022.

2019-09-10The Forecasting Machine

From inauguration to teaching: Hypermind helps launch UM6P’s School of Collective Intelligence

UM6P’s School of Collective Intelligence began in June 2019. Servan-Schreiber’s archive records the Benguérir inauguration and Hypermind’s contribution before courses were due to start.

2019-09-04The Forecasting Machine

Lumenogic becomes Hypermind: one forecasting company, three names and two decades

In September 2019, Émile Servan-Schreiber announced that Lumenogic would consolidate its prediction-market and collective-intelligence work under the Hypermind name.

2016-02-25The Forecasting Machine

Le Figaro profiles Mathieu Laine, Hypermind’s co-founder

A February 2016 clipping shared by Servan-Schreiber identifies Mathieu Laine as his Hypermind co-founder, connecting a portrait of an ideas broker to the venture’s history.

2014-08-20The Forecasting Machine

Hypermind’s 2014 US launch and geopolitical contest

An August 2014 announcement introduced Hypermind’s US version and a €10,000 geopolitical contest, with early research explaining how the market worked.

2013-07-22The Forecasting Machine

Lumenogic and the Good Judgment Project’s third-season market, July 2013

Two near-identical July 2013 updates announce a new prediction-market platform for the Good Judgment Project. Company history and primary research place the launch in context.