INSIGHTS

IDEAS, METHODS, AND TECHNOLOGY SHAPING BETTER FORECASTING AND STRATEGIC DECISIONS.

2019-11-06The Forecasting Machine

Dice rolls and jelly beans: practising collective judgement at 1337

A November 2019 account describes Hypermind dice-roll markets and jelly-bean experiments in Morocco, with Pavel Atanasov contributing to the 1337 class.

2019-07-18The Forecasting Machine

Reason, openness and the forecasting habit

Two 2019 posts by Émile Servan-Schreiber connect a book on reason, a historic climate debate and open-minded thinking to the practice of forecasting.

2019-05-20The Forecasting Machine

Could Europe’s diversity make it smarter? Servan-Schreiber’s 2019 governance proposal

A Le Point opinion and its English republication applied collective-intelligence ideas to European voting, cross-border communication and a shared second language.

2019-03-24The Forecasting Machine

From employee ideas to collective priorities: why disagreement can be useful

A Supercollectif matrix separates positive from negative assessments when ranking ideas. Manutan’s iDay offers a separate example of broad employee participation.

2017-09-27The Forecasting Machine

Macron, collective intelligence and the power to decide

A 2017 essay and Management clipping trace Émile Servan-Schreiber’s argument about Macron, diverse contributions and the leader’s final decision.

2015-06-22The Forecasting Machine

Beyond historical data: the 2015 case for collective forecasting

Émile Servan-Schreiber argued that forecasts need information beyond historical datasets. His 2014 election comparison supplies a concrete test, with limits.

2015-05-31The Forecasting Machine

Crowdfunders and experts largely agreed on theatre projects — with different funding thresholds

A 2015 comment about art and expertise provides a starting point for comparing Kickstarter theatre funding with expert evaluations and later project outcomes.