News from the frontier of AI forecasting
FORAXION, the company behind The Forecasting Machine, pushes the limits of actionable foresight.
Results for “collective intelligence”
Teaching students to forecast: Servan-Schreiber’s seminar at IE University and his class in the UM6P Executive MBA
A new run of “How to predict the future with collective and artificial intelligence” began at IE University on 14 September 2026, with students learning by forecasting in live prediction tournaments.
“Prediction People”: Servan-Schreiber on why money builds the business but not the forecast
In Stuart Crowley’s “Prediction People” interview, published on 24 August 2026, Émile Servan-Schreiber separated the forecasting mechanism from the business model. He also talked about forecasters who have kept playing for 25 years, AI competing with his own product, and why governments should use crowd forecasts.
“Performance = Expertise + Diversity”: Servan-Schreiber on the If This Then Dev Podcast
In an hour-long episode of the French developer podcast If This Then Dev, published on 12 August 2026, Émile Servan-Schreiber explained why groups need rules to be smart, how many novices it takes to match an expert, and why he sees large language models as collective intelligence.
L’Express Interviews Émile Servan-Schreiber on Polymarket and Money-Free Forecasting
Days after France blocked Polymarket, L’Express interviewed Émile Servan-Schreiber, who argues that cash wagering is not what makes a crowd forecast accurate—and who described The Forecasting Machine’s all-AI system to the paper.
“There Is a Recipe for Collective Intelligence”: Servan-Schreiber’s Institut Diderot Lecture, Now in Print
The Institut Diderot has published the transcript of Émile Servan-Schreiber’s interactive lecture of 5 November 2025 on what makes groups smart, why consensus kills collective intelligence, and why AI still needs diverse human thinking.
“Supercollective Intelligence”: Servan-Schreiber’s 2018 book on crowds and prediction markets comes out in English
The English edition of Émile Servan-Schreiber’s “Supercollectif” is now on Amazon. He argues that ChatGPT and the rise of Polymarket since 2018 support, rather than overturn, the book’s case.
