News from the frontier of AI forecasting

FORAXION, the company behind The Forecasting Machine, pushes the limits of actionable foresight.

2022-07-11The Forecasting Machine

“Arising Intelligence”: what Hypermind’s crowd got right and wrong about AI progress

From 2021, Hypermind ran contests asking forecasters to predict AI benchmarks with Jacob Steinhardt of UC Berkeley. Progress on maths and language beat the crowd’s expectations; robustness lagged them.

2021-06-08The Forecasting Machine

Le Point and Hypermind launch the Institut Supercollectif, a forecasting panel of magazine readers

In June 2021 the French newsweekly Le Point and Hypermind opened a joint forecasting institute that turns readers’ predictions on politics, geopolitics, science and the economy into probabilities, and later offered them to businesses and governments.