FORAXION TIMESOCTOBER 2026
News from the frontier of AI forecasting
FORAXION, the company behind The Forecasting Machine, pushes the limits of actionable foresight.
Search
Results for “2024 US presidential election”
Red bars and blue bars: how betting markets and forecaster panels split over Harris and Trump
In the final weeks of the 2024 US election, Émile Servan-Schreiber tracked eleven forecasting venues. Real-money markets leaned Trump, forecaster panels leaned Harris, and the result reopened an old argument about what money adds to a forecast.
AI versus the crowd: Hypermind’s hybrid forecast map of the 2024 US presidential election
In September 2024 Hypermind set its new retrieval-augmented AI Forecasting Machine against its human prediction market on a state-by-state election map. How the experiment worked, what it forecast, and what the result can and cannot tell us.
