FORAXION TIMESOCTOBER 2026

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2025-09-30The Forecasting Machine

Superforecasting at ten, and the “proven forecasters” NewsFutures spotted in 2006

Ten years after Tetlock and Gardner’s Superforecasting, Émile Servan-Schreiber dug out a 2006 NewsFutures market in which the previous quarter’s best forecasters beat the crowd. Why the idea took a decade to be recognised, and where AI fits now.

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