News from the frontier of AI forecasting

FORAXION, the company behind The Forecasting Machine, pushes the limits of actionable foresight.

2026-10-02The Forecasting Machine

Prediction Markets Explained: How to Read Polymarket Odds

What a prediction-market price means, why the resolution rules matter, and how to use Polymarket odds as evidence without mistaking them for certainty.

2026-08-22The Forecasting Machine

A 2017 field guide to prediction markets for foresight, reread in 2026

Futuribles International has made Émile Servan-Schreiber’s 14-page toolbox on prediction markets free to download. Written in 2017 for foresight practitioners, its practical rules still hold, and its list of research frontiers reads differently now that AI forecasting exists.