News from the frontier of AI forecasting
FORAXION, the company behind The Forecasting Machine, pushes the limits of actionable foresight.
Results for “polls”
Polls, Prediction Markets or AI? Servan-Schreiber and Verian’s Laure Salvaing on Reading France’s 2027 Election
In an Atlantico cross-interview, Émile Servan-Schreiber and pollster Laure Salvaing disagreed on what prediction markets measure and whether AI-simulated voters can replace real ones. A B SMART interview the same month added his view that, for forecasting at scale, AI has already won.
“The readership is an intelligence asset”: Servan-Schreiber in Agenda Pública on crowds, AI and the press
In a March 2026 interview with Agenda Pública, Émile Servan-Schreiber argued that prediction markets beat polls on method, that AI now forecasts as well as a smart crowd, and that newspapers have wasted what their readers know.
Bettors versus pollsters: the Hypermind–Le Point panel and the 2022 Macron–Le Pen run-off
Across 143 daily rolling polls of the 2022 French presidential run-off, the Hypermind–Le Point panel’s forecast was closer to the final result in 128 cases. What was compared, how the panel worked, and where the comparison has limits.
