News from the frontier of AI forecasting

FORAXION, the company behind The Forecasting Machine, pushes the limits of actionable foresight.

2023-03-24The Forecasting Machine

STORM and the energy-sobriety challenge

Hypermind, EDF and La Poste’s 2022–2023 energy-sobriety initiative used employee ideas and collective prioritisation to shape practical organisational plans.

2021-09-12The Forecasting Machine

Nuclear energy in the EU taxonomy: Hypermind’s September 2021 snapshot

On 12 September 2021, a Hypermind card gave nuclear inclusion in the EU’s green taxonomy that year a 30.0% chance. The later policy milestones fell in 2022 and 2023.

2021-03-28The Forecasting Machine

Conformity and energy choices: a collective-intelligence critique from 2021

Servan-Schreiber’s brief comment on gas, hydrogen and nuclear policy raises a question about how groups judge evidence. The policy disagreement and the diagnosis of conformity need separate scrutiny.

2019-11-21The Forecasting Machine

At Fessenheim, a collective-forecasting talk meets a disputed closure decision

Émile Servan-Schreiber’s November 2019 lecture linked collective forecasts with open-minded decisions, while his recap sharply criticised Fessenheim’s planned closure.