FORAXION TIMESNOVEMBER 2026

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Results for “Glimt”

2026-07-14The Forecasting Machine

Glimt’s First-Year Results: Crowd Forecasting for Ukraine in Madrid

At a Madrid seminar hosted by Sweden’s ambassador, Émile Servan-Schreiber and FOI’s Ivar Ekman presented Glimt’s first-year crowd-forecasting results.

2026-03-05The Forecasting Machine

“The readership is an intelligence asset”: Servan-Schreiber in Agenda Pública on crowds, AI and the press

In a March 2026 interview with Agenda Pública, Émile Servan-Schreiber argued that prediction markets beat polls on method, that AI now forecasts as well as a smart crowd, and that newspapers have wasted what their readers know.

2026-01-31The Forecasting Machine

How the OECD’s foresight unit fits crowd and AI forecasting into policy planning

From a Paris meeting of government foresight teams in October 2025 to an EU expert hearing in January 2026, the OECD’s Strategic Foresight Unit has set out where Glimt and The Forecasting Machine fit, and where they don’t.

2025-10-11The Forecasting Machine

From a royal audience to French readers: Glimt’s public reception in 2025

Glimt’s first year brought a royal unveiling, ministerial encouragement, an EU presentation and French recruitment—and a debate about whether ordinary citizens can forecast strategically.

2025-10-10The Forecasting Machine

Glimt in Paris: interim results at the Swedish Embassy, then the French press

On 7 October 2025, FOI and Hypermind presented Glimt’s interim record at the Swedish Embassy in Paris: 71% of outcomes called correctly across 31 resolved questions. Le Figaro and France 24 covered the project two weeks later.

2025-01-20The Forecasting Machine

Glimt opens to the public: Sweden’s crowd-forecasting platform for Ukraine

On 20 January 2025, FOI opened Glimt, a free platform where volunteers forecast the war, politics and economy questions that Ukrainian analysts worry about, using Hypermind’s technology. Within five weeks it had more than 10,000 forecasters.

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