News from the frontier of AI forecasting

FORAXION, the company behind The Forecasting Machine, pushes the limits of actionable foresight.

2017-05-04The Forecasting Machine

Vote share, victory and qualification: three ways to read Hypermind’s 2017 forecasts

Hypermind’s 4 May 2017 mean forecast of Macron’s vote share was 60.8%. Earlier charts show why that number differs from a probability of victory or qualification.

2015-05-31The Forecasting Machine

Crowdfunders and experts largely agreed on theatre projects — with different funding thresholds

A 2015 comment about art and expertise provides a starting point for comparing Kickstarter theatre funding with expert evaluations and later project outcomes.