News from the frontier of AI forecasting

FORAXION, the company behind The Forecasting Machine, pushes the limits of actionable foresight.

2016-06-01The Forecasting Machine

Hypermind’s 2016: ahead of the betting markets on Trump’s nomination, then one chance in four for Brexit and the White House

Hypermind scored its 2016 Republican nomination forecasts 35–40% better than Betfair, PredictIt and the Iowa Electronic Markets. Months later it gave Brexit and a Trump presidency about one chance in four. What a year of hits and misses says about probabilities.