News from the frontier of AI forecasting

FORAXION, the company behind The Forecasting Machine, pushes the limits of actionable foresight.

2026-08-22The Forecasting Machine

A 2017 field guide to prediction markets for foresight, reread in 2026

Futuribles International has made Émile Servan-Schreiber’s 14-page toolbox on prediction markets free to download. Written in 2017 for foresight practitioners, its practical rules still hold, and its list of research frontiers reads differently now that AI forecasting exists.

2025-05-20The Forecasting Machine

AI gathers, crowds guess: Servan-Schreiber’s hybrid forecasting model in Prague

At the Europe as a Task conference in Prague in May 2025, Émile Servan-Schreiber split forecasting into information gathering, where AI now leads, and guessing, where crowds still take better-calculated risks.

2017-07-20The Forecasting Machine

Lumenogic joins IARPA’s Hybrid Forecasting Competition

In July 2017, Émile Servan-Schreiber announced that Lumenogic, the company behind Hypermind, had joined one of three teams in a US intelligence research programme on combining human and machine forecasts. The work led to Hypermind’s Prescience platform.