FORAXION TIMESOCTOBER 2026
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Results for “Prediction polling”
What 15 months of crowd forecasting taught Johns Hopkins about disease outbreaks
A study by the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security and Hypermind, published in November 2021, followed 562 forecasters through 61 questions on 19 diseases. The combined crowd forecast was well calibrated, beat chance by a wide margin and outscored every individual, including the public-health experts.
