About the company
The company behind The Forecasting Machine.
FORAXION Ltd, creator of The Forecasting Machine, is an AI‑first spinoff of Hypermind, a leading B2B prediction markets company since 2000.
« Today, AI finally enables quality forecasting at scale – and The Forecasting Machine gives every strategic analyst access to that superpower. »
Our mission is to build AI‑powered tools that radically enhance human strategic intelligence.
Our strengths
Cognitive First
With deep roots in cognitive psychology, collective intelligence and AI, we build tools that empower human brains.
Forecasting Tech Excellence
Our founders have pushed the frontier of prediction market science and technology since 2000.
B2B Service Expertise
We build on 25 years of experience delivering analytics and forecasting platforms to strategy and innovation teams worldwide.
25 years of forecasting science — now AI-native.
- 2000
Prediction Markets
Hypermind launches NewsFutures, one of the first prediction markets, and goes on to pioneer B2B prediction market platforms.
- 2011–15
IARPA Good Judgment
The landmark Good Judgment Project hires Hypermind to provide prediction market expertise and technology.
- 2000–25
The dataset
A quarter century of resolved forecasting questions and calibrated judgments. Data and experience that can’t be scraped or faked.
- 2024
The spinout
After two years of internal research and development, Hypermind spins out FORAXION to focus exclusively on AI-first forecasting.
- Today
The machine
The Forecasting Machine enables actionable foresight at AI speed and scale. Get yours today!
The science
Why probabilistic forecasting works.
What is superforecasting?
Quantified, repeatedly scored prediction — the discipline behind Philip Tetlock’s Good Judgment Project, where trained forecasters beat professional intelligence analysts holding classified material. Their edge wasn’t knowing more: it was thinking in probabilities and being scored often enough to learn from being wrong.
+50%more accurate than professional intelligence analysts — IARPA Good Judgment Project, four-year tournament
Why probability?
Scenarios are stories — unfalsifiable, untrackable. A probability can be compared, tracked and scored against reality once the question resolves. Scoring is what makes foresight improvable instead of merely confident.
Why AI, why now?
Human panels are accurate but slow, expensive, and capped at a dozen questions a year. Given properly retrieved evidence, ensembles of frontier models now forecast in the range of competitive human forecasters. The discipline didn’t change — its cost collapsed.
The TFM method
- Massive source triage
- Forecasting
- Multi-model aggregation
- Evidence-backed probabilities
Question decomposition and honest scoring from 25 years of live markets; independent frontier models aggregated the way collective intelligence research says to; every source distilled into an attributed, inspectable event. A paper trail and a track record — not a well-phrased prompt.
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Artificial Intelligence Meets Crowd Wisdom
Our team fuses 25 years of leadership on the frontier of B2B crowd-forecasting tech with the revolutionary new possibilities offered by AI.
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What happens next
- We review every request and reply within 24 hours.
- Once approved, your login details arrive by email.
- You browse a curated set of live forecasts, no credit card required.